rzgtrader

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.41K
Potential profit: $14.41K
User PnL: -$48.72

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 4.2%
Current value: $573.09
Potential payout: $13.81K
Potential profit: $13.24K
Multiplier: 24.10x
User PnL: -$1.93K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69K
Potential profit: $7.69K
User PnL: -$2K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.19K
Potential profit: $7.19K
User PnL: -$46.42

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.46K
Potential profit: $6.46K
User PnL: -$1K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.13K
Potential profit: $6.13K
User PnL: -$46.42

Yes position

Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $185.76
Potential payout: $5.63K
Potential profit: $5.44K
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$814.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.82K
Potential profit: $2.82K
User PnL: -$5.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $2.79K
User PnL: -$46.46

No position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.08K
Potential profit: $2.08K
User PnL: -$102

Yes position

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $39.14
Potential payout: $1.33K
Potential profit: $1.29K
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: -$148.57

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $36.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $963.5
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: $25.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $991.5
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $56.67
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $610
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$63.33

No position

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $16.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $483.5
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: $8

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $493.75
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.25

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $9.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $490.75
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $11.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $488.25
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $13.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $486.75
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: $5.25

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $487.75
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $3.75

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.58

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.54

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.1

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.54

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.01

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.41

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.05

Oleksandra Oliynykova position

Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Lilli Tagger

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.3

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.99

Nuno Borges position

Barcelona Open: Nuno Borges vs Tomas Etcheverry

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.17

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET