Polymarket Trader

jmz

0xd0ed7b7922b8bb47943cf9e6ef7e16d74c2282e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $367.22
Realized PnL: $432.27
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230
Potential profit: $230
User PnL: -$3.68

No position

Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $148.38
Potential payout: $164.95
Potential profit: $16.58
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$1.62

Yes position

Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $149.25
Potential payout: $149.25
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $49.25

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $69.6
Potential payout: $75.24
Potential profit: $5.64
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.9
Potential profit: $71.9
User PnL: -$59.17

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.91

No position

Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.89

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.55

No position

Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.6

No position

Will Trump replace Hegseth with DeSantis by Friday?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.72

No position

Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.89

No position

Will a Republican win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.35

No position

Will Trump Media acquire a crypto exchange in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.1

Yes position

Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 16?

Ends Aug 16, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.87

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?

Ends Nov 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Yes position

Will Kash Patel be Trump's FBI director?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

No position

Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.07

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war before inauguration?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.6

No position

Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.57

Yes position

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

No position

Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

No position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.06

No position

Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

Trump position

Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?

Ends Sep 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.75

No position

Will Trump sell shares of DJT in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

No position

Ye banned on X in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?

No 84% 75.24 shares
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

Yes 67% 149.25 shares
Don Lemon sentenced to prison?

No 90.9% 164.95 shares
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Yes 17% 588.24 shares
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

No 81% 37.16 shares
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Yes 80% 62.5 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?

Yes 20% 150 shares
Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July?

No 98.3% 61.14 shares
Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria in first 100 days?

No 92.6% 56.41 shares
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico before May?

Yes 2.8% 174.33 shares
Trump abolishes IRS in 2025?

No 91% 42.86 shares
Will DOGE sell FBI headquarters before June?

No 94% 73.4 shares