filip688

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Avatar 3 be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $92
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Yodchanan Wongsawat be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 9?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 24?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 29?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will Julie Emerson be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Tracy Dendy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4600 and $4700 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 18.1%
Multiplier: 5.52x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Julapun Amornvivat be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Xan John be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Kathy Seiden be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Chaikasem Nitisiri be the next prime minister of Thailand?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Chris Holder be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Eric Skrmetta be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Blake Miguez be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Randall Arrington be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?