Polymarket Trader

bollemus11

0xd12c623974efe4b58d0b94a57f4b5ff87776dce8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83.82
Realized PnL: $314.71
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 8?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 7?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $101.77
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.12
Potential profit: $98.12
User PnL: -$4.81

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $18.72
Potential payout: $91.58
Potential profit: $72.86
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$6.28

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $82.29
Potential profit: $82.29
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $75.76
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $8.63
Potential payout: $70.42
Potential profit: $61.8
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$1.37

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.16
Potential profit: $65.16
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.7%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $50.76
Potential profit: $40.79
Multiplier: 5.09x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $12.14
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $35.48
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: $2.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.47
Potential profit: $46.47
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $8.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $31.8
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $34.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.39
Potential profit: $29.39
User PnL: -$10

Over position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $10.14
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $18.43
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $26.35
Potential profit: $21.57
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.65
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $20.42
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.03
Potential profit: $21.03
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $3.96
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $16.88
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119.47

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.33

No position

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.28

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.05

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

No position

Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.73

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.35

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.9

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.54

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.46

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77

Yes position

Will Trump say "God" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Trump say "Midterm" during Fox interview on Wednesday?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.62

No position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Yes position

Will Trump say "Proxy" or "Hezbollah" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Objective" or "Goal" 3+ times during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will Trump say "Operation Epic Fury" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.81

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 40.5% 12.35 shares
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Yes 38% 13.16 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Over 35% 28.57 shares
Cabo Verde to score first vs. Argentina?

Yes 13% 23.08 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 4.7% 106.38 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 14.2% 70.42 shares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 19.7% 50.76 shares
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 10?

Yes 7.5% 13.33 shares
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on May 9?

Yes 2.9% 34.48 shares