Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.7%
- Current value
- $238.61
- Potential payout
- $257.54
- Potential profit
- $18.93
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $17.13
Polymarket Trader
tengi
0xd13e33e8bd27425704a723edf46febc5a8399742
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $239.57
- Realized PnL
- $1.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $127.44
- Potential profit
- $126.48
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.66
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$93
No position
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.05
- Potential profit
- $36.05
- User PnL
- -$13.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $729.17
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93.29
No position
Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.96
No position
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.44
No position
Will Ukraine control Grafovka on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $7.87
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Yes position
Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $2.53
No position
India x Pakistan military clash by November 14?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Yes position
Will federal employees receive back pay after the government shutdown?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Russia recapture territory in Kucheriv Yar by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Russia capture Rivnopillia by December 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No 0.2% 1,175.58 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes 54% 801.89 shares
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?No 61% 453.79 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Yes 55% 503.29 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 78.3% 17.5 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 65% 7.5 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?Yes 63% 10 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No 90% 1,111.55 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No 90% 1,111.61 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?No 93% 5 shares
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?No 94% 5 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 72% 5 shares