Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $23.79
- Potential payout
- $149.13
- Potential profit
- $125.34
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- $13.65
Polymarket Trader
0xd147...4501
0xd147458e116b571ee2c83fd16b04f7fc96e44501
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $195.47
- Realized PnL
- -$67.73
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $22.91
- Potential payout
- $114.29
- Potential profit
- $91.37
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $2.91
Yes position
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
Ends Dec 31, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $12.46
- Potential payout
- $99.69
- Potential profit
- $87.23
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $65.06
- Potential profit
- $47.82
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $6.41
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $33.28
- Potential payout
- $62.21
- Potential profit
- $28.93
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $9.64
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $29.93
- Potential payout
- $57.56
- Potential profit
- $27.63
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $4.93
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $23.91
- Potential payout
- $39.19
- Potential profit
- $15.29
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $10.11
- Potential payout
- $25.93
- Potential profit
- $15.82
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $25.85
- Potential profit
- $14.35
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $2.91
No position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $2.44
- Potential payout
- $23.21
- Potential profit
- $20.77
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.82
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.3%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $15.81
- Potential profit
- $10.71
- Multiplier
- 3.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $3.21
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Multiplier
- 5.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.36
Yes position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$2.2
Yes position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.91
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$7.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 83.33x
- User PnL
- -$11.89
Over position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 10?Yes 0.6% 190.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 9?Yes 0.8% 108.83 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?Yes 41% 6 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 10?Yes 4.8% 190.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on July 9?Yes 11.7% 108.84 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 10?Yes 33.2% 25.85 shares
- Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes 13% 99.69 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 15.8% 149.11 shares
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 33.9% 25.93 shares
- Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Yes 24% 38.93 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 60.7% 39.19 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 43.4% 57.56 shares