Polymarket Trader

KelseyOrtiz4634

0xd1613bfcccbe2d37b4a51b53fd372777c047bcf0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $221.84
Realized PnL: $2.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $129.3
Potential payout: $862
Potential profit: $732.7
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$172.4

Yes position

Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $69.33
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $225.68
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $13.28

Yes position

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.2%
Current value: $22.25
Potential payout: $26.13
Potential profit: $3.88
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $0.97
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs vs. Charleston Southern Buccaneers: O/U 158.5

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.59

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "MrBeast" during his next YouTube video?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.95

Yes position

Will Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $243.81

Yes position

Will John Oliver say "Congress" on Last Week Tonight?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $233.06

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $188.85

No position

Will Trump post "America Last" on Truth Social this week? (March 8)

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.26

Yes position

Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $170.06

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hannukah" or "Kwanzaa" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?

Ends Dec 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10PM ET

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pam" or "Bondi" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $100.82

Under position

Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.65

Over position

Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.6

No position

Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.96

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.66

Yes position

Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.4

Yes position

Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.83

Levante UD position

Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.2

Yes position

Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 27.2%
Multiplier: 3.68x
User PnL: $42.9

Mercer Bears position

Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers (W)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.75

Yes position

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $36.6

Yes position

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: $34.3

Yes position

Will Prince Andrew be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.66

No position

Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.19

Yes position

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: $26.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

No 79.8% 403 shares
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?

No 85.9% 403 shares
Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lions

North Alabama Lions 47.8% 523 shares
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?

No 23% 435 shares
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?

No 21% 435 shares
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?

No 71% 227 shares
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?

No 71% 48 shares
Will Alianza FC win on 2026-04-19?

No 73% 275 shares
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 84% 552 shares
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 85% 552 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

No 50% 125 shares
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?

No 50% 903 shares