Yes position
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $53.22
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$130.36
Polymarket Trader
0xd163...d100
0xd16332376fb97c5b17bbe1aa9145092bfc42d100
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $55.41
- Realized PnL
- $94.27
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $545.45
- Potential profit
- $544.36
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $450
- Potential profit
- $449.33
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $105.56
- Potential profit
- $105.13
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.96
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.71
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.61
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.76
Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.84
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Bitcoin above 70,200 on March 27, 5AM ET?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$1.06
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?Yes 1.8% 55.56 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 6.6% 11.11 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?Yes 1.1% 181.82 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.9% 11.9 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?Yes 1.1% 181.82 shares
- Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Yes 7.1% 148.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?Yes 2% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 37.6% 4.63 shares
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 21.6% 4.63 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?Yes 0.6% 104.3 shares