Polymarket Trader

traderbro

0xd1742004754377030307f6deab9a4d1a9fb0aeb2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.03K
Realized PnL: $52.97
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 15
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $452.89
Potential payout: $462.13
Potential profit: $9.24
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $41.49

Yes position

Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $402.32
Potential payout: $412
Potential profit: $9.68
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $43.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.68
Potential profit: $188.68
User PnL: -$100

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.39
Potential profit: $144.39
User PnL: -$105

No position

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $125.58
Potential payout: $129
Potential profit: $3.42
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $11.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.09
Potential profit: $90.09
User PnL: -$50

No position

Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $46.83
Potential payout: $48.08
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $4.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.45

No position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.32

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.76

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.95

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.25

Yes position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 94% 2.13 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 89% 20 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 89% 190 shares
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 89% 20 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 89% 100 shares
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 87% 19 shares
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 87% 157 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 89% 100 shares
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 89% 89 shares
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 87% 200 shares
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

No 89% 28.08 shares
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Yes 89% 40 shares