Yes position
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Polymarket Trader
bw420
0xd17aa4f9e30f9ef5ca6a72c767b875fdae32ca9d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $279.66
- Realized PnL
- $729.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $8.27
- Potential payout
- $214.89
- Potential profit
- $206.62
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$29.17
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.55
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$10.5
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $7.35
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $132.65
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $12.66
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $107.34
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $119.7
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $110.01
- Potential profit
- $109.84
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$27.25
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $15.24
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $94.77
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.96
Yes position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $101
- Potential profit
- $100.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.82
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $19.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $80.55
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $15.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $84.75
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- $6.35
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.25
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $5.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.55
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.85
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$14.85
Yes position
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.9%
- Current value
- $7.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.15
- Multiplier
- 12.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.75
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.65
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$22.21
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.9%
- Current value
- $83.85
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $16.15
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $4.85
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $9.46
- Potential payout
- $99.61
- Potential profit
- $90.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$9.55
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $90.43
- Potential payout
- $97.18
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $3.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.41
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.05
Yes position
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 6AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.2
New York Yankees position
Athletics vs. New York Yankees
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7PM ET
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.33
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 2 FC Bayern München?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.63
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.9
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.69
Yes position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.27
Yes position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?Yes 66% 20 shares
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to ScoreYes 37% 50 shares
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 1,000 shares
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.3% 666.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 43% 100 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No 24% 20 shares
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes 23% 29.99 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 83% 89 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?Yes 80.9% 36.18 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 20.39 shares
- Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No 54% 20 shares
- Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?Yes 58% 15 shares