Polymarket Trader

12313

0xd189ec14e46c86698c1cb40df5323b96a783b261

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.43K
Realized PnL: $4.77K
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yellow Submarine position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.43K
Potential profit: $163.43K
User PnL: -$199.87

Yes position

Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.95K
Potential profit: $99.95K
User PnL: -$299.84

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.83K
Potential profit: $23.83K
User PnL: -$2.5K

No position

StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $6.44K
Potential payout: $7.32K
Potential profit: $878.12
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.44K

No position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.24K
Potential profit: $7.24K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.32K
Potential profit: $4.32K
User PnL: -$1.61K

No position

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 26%
Current value: $988
Potential payout: $3.8K
Potential profit: $2.81K
Multiplier: 3.85x
User PnL: -$133.26

Yes position

Will Justin Young win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will New Social Contract win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.1
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: -$0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Nuggets

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.41K

No position

Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $792

No position

StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 83%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $537.59

Yes position

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 16%
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $40.49

Xtreme Gaming position

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.78

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.7%
Multiplier: 6.39x
User PnL: -$4.54

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 29.5% 3,799.99 shares
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

No 6.9% 7,237.07 shares
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Xtreme Gaming 67% 1.49 shares
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner

Yellow Submarine 0.2% 63,427.21 shares
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner

Yellow Submarine 0.1% 100,000 shares
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 89% 1,727.62 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

No 10.5% 23,827.6 shares
Hawks vs. Nuggets

Hawks 48% 6,558.33 shares
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Yes 37.7% 3,979.13 shares
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Yes 31% 342.58 shares
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 56% 100 shares
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

No 57.9% 1,727.63 shares