No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $886.16
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $211.25
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $10.15
Polymarket Trader
zhaoxin.trade.
0xd18d592ddf1a9dfe47b24ceb8f99009a6639c3d7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.78K
- Realized PnL
- $232.65
- Win rate
- 88.9%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $465.4
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $54.6
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $57.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $427.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $72.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
No position
US bank failure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $303.95
- Potential profit
- $303.95
- User PnL
- -$236.18
No position
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $188
- Potential profit
- $186.21
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$45.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75%
- Multiplier
- 1.33x
- User PnL
- $100.19
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.64
Yes position
Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.8
Yes position
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.65
No position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $7.65
Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.3%
- Multiplier
- 5.19x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
No position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes 87% 500 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 82% 250 shares
- AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes 24.4% 570 shares
- Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes 90% 167.28 shares
- Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?Yes 91% 30 shares
- Will Cursor be acquired before 2027?Yes 77% 80 shares
- US bank failure by June 30?No 77% 17.95 shares
- US bank failure by June 30?No 76% 26 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 87% 61 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 88% 29.6 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 89% 27.6 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 86% 159.1 shares