Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $19.65
- Potential payout
- $20.49
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Polymarket Trader
MessiIsTheRealGoat
0xd190e42b61b65695b2ff19c4b00a7d818e9eff8b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $74.97
- Realized PnL
- $3.9
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $15.02
- Potential payout
- $15.21
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $10.28
- Potential payout
- $10.42
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $9.94
- Potential payout
- $10.13
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.05
- Potential payout
- $10.11
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $10.04
- Potential payout
- $10.1
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Lance Stroll finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
fnatic position
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Under position
Mexico vs. England: O/U 7.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
N
No position
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Belgium?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
N
No position
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Sweden?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Serena Williams be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
N
No position
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Ghana?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Under position
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Under position
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Franco Colapinto finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
N
No position
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Australia?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Evo Morales leaves Bolivia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Francisco Cerúndolo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 15?Yes 96% 10.42 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on July 14?Yes 99.7% 20.06 shares
- Exequiel Palacios: 2+ goalsNo 99.5% 10.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 13?Yes 95% 10.53 shares
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsfnatic 98% 10.2 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?No 99.6% 10.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 11?Yes 99.4% 10.06 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or below on July 12?No 99.4% 10.06 shares
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 98.7% 10.13 shares
- Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No 99% 10.1 shares
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-07-11?No 98.1% 10.19 shares
- Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by July 31, 2026?No 98.6% 15.21 shares