Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Polymarket Trader
0xD194f907e2Ec3904603F2C3Fda89709Ff8333bC5-1744150962551
0xd194f907e2ec3904603f2c3fda89709ff8333bc5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $284.99
- Realized PnL
- $46.4
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Current value
- $278
- Potential payout
- $282.38
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Dave’s Hot Chicken be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Boris Molina Acevedo win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $224
- Potential profit
- $222.54
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.53
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.98
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95
Yes position
Will Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Meteora FDV above $8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will NVIDIA dip to $124 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of January?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will BNB dip to $600 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 98.9% 5.56 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.7% 21.56 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 26, 2026?No 99.5% 260.81 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?No 99.9% 283.8 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?No 99.6% 257.46 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?No 99.6% 1.1 shares
- Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?No 99.8% 113.53 shares
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99% 1.11 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.8% 135.75 shares
- Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 99.8% 132.87 shares
- Will Solana dip to $50 in May?No 99.8% 3.81 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?Yes 98.2% 136.35 shares