Polymarket Trader

oiuy

0xd194fe1a04f5a176d660d011c9e13ea269422dfe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $139.04
Realized PnL: $15.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $129.02
Potential payout: $129.21
Potential profit: $0.19
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $10.03
Potential payout: $10.26
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.03

Cavaliers position

Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.48

Spurs position

Suns vs. Spurs

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

Spurs position

Thunder vs. Spurs

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.79

Cavaliers position

Cavaliers vs. Bulls

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Manchester City wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 30?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 99.6% 53.21 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 99.9% 27.03 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 99.2% 32.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99.8% 35.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

No 99.9% 11.01 shares
Knicks vs. Cavaliers

Cavaliers 44% 2.27 shares
Thunder vs. Spurs

Spurs 56% 1.79 shares
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

No 97.5% 10.26 shares
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

No 99.9% 128.49 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?

No 99.9% 25.02 shares
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

No 99.9% 12.01 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?

No 99.8% 16.83 shares