Polymarket Trader

Sergei82

0xd19a01af4e5381316ca9fb1e2c892b0c529dc876

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $64.17
Realized PnL: $202.46
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.92K
Potential profit: $8.92K
User PnL: -$36.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $302.57
Potential profit: $302.57
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.07
Potential profit: $90.07
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $30.43
Potential payout: $30.72
Potential profit: $0.29
User PnL: $12.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

No position

Trump out as President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $20.99
Potential payout: $21.02
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.02

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.23
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $15.63
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.4
Potential profit: $15.4
User PnL: -$9.86

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $10.35
Potential payout: $15.11
Potential profit: $4.76
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$0.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.66
Potential profit: $13.66
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Epstein suicide note released by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.61
Potential profit: $13.61
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $12.77
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$2.83

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.9
Potential profit: $11.9
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.86
Potential profit: $11.86
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $10.14
User PnL: -$6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.86
Potential profit: $9.86
User PnL: -$6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.22
Potential profit: $8.22
User PnL: -$7

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.2
Potential profit: $7.2
User PnL: -$7

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.88

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Yes position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.88

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.34

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 10?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.65

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

No position

Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.93

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 2, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Yes position

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.71

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Metallurg Magnitogorsk position

KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Ak Bars Kazan

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Avangard Omsk position

KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. CSKA Moscow

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 26, 2026?

Yes 95% 2.11 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Down 65% 1.54 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 83% 2.41 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 66% 4.55 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 80% 2.5 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 61% 4.92 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 3.85 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 64.2% 3.12 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Up 52% 1.92 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Down 76% 3.95 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 84% 11.9 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 85% 3.53 shares