Polymarket Trader

RichardHicks8753

0xd1abcaed1a22acdc3f55efb6e01d2422072056e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.32K
Realized PnL: $6.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Jacksonville State Gamecocks position

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $252.54

METANOIAGG position

Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs METANOIAGG (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group A

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$497.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $959
Potential profit: $959
User PnL: -$172.62

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $813
Potential profit: $813
User PnL: -$357.72

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $740
Potential profit: $740
User PnL: -$429.2

Under position

Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $706
Potential profit: $706
User PnL: -$148.26

Under position

Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $663
Potential profit: $663
User PnL: -$125.97

Under position

Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $551
Potential payout: $551
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $126.73

Yes position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442
Potential profit: $442
User PnL: -$141.44

Heat position

Bulls vs. Heat

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430
Potential profit: $430
User PnL: -$51.17

OpenAI position

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $305
Potential profit: $305
User PnL: -$67.1

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $295
Potential profit: $295
User PnL: -$123.9

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $63.94
Potential payout: $284.83
Potential profit: $220.89
Multiplier: 4.45x
User PnL: -$196.96

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $235
Potential profit: $235
User PnL: -$143.35

Under position

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214
Potential profit: $214
User PnL: -$72.76

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $209
Potential profit: $209
User PnL: -$64.79

Anthropic position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 86%
Current value: $46.44
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $7.56
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $11.34

Yes position

Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $23.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.16

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $9
Potential profit: $8.94
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.15

No position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 - 22 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $3.96
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $3.54
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $3
Potential profit: $0.77
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: -$0.08

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $596.45

Yes position

Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.34

No position

Will "Ukraine" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $527.26

Down position

Solana Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.68

Yes position

Will Dundee FC win on 2026-02-04?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $432.6

Yes position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $330.57

Portsmouth FC position

Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270.72

Yes position

Will Melania say "Initiative" during Fostering the Future Together event on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.16

Under position

Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.2

Yes position

Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.12

No position

Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Egg" or "Bean" in Rome, GA on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.76

Yes position

Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.84

Yes position

Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.89

Yes position

Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $174.76

Yes position

Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.39

Yes position

Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.6

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.2

No position

Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.72

Yes position

Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Republican Senate primary be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000 voters?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.05

Yes position

Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $144.04

Yes position

Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $140.9

Yes position

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.63

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 412 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 805 shares
Millonarios FC vs. CD Tolima: O/U 3.5

Under 77% 551 shares
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5

Under 19% 663 shares
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

No 86% 1,217 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 78% 728 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 78% 6 shares
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

No 83% 734 shares
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

No 75% 812 shares
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?

No 88% 812 shares
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)

EC Juventude 50% 626 shares
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?

No 56% 771 shares