No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $140.46K
- Potential payout
- $141.45K
- Potential profit
- $990.14
- User PnL
- $11.26K
Polymarket Trader
Kickstand7
0xd1acd3925d895de9aec98ff95f3a30c5279d08d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $191.43K
- Realized PnL
- $1.28M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Texans position
Texans vs. Patriots
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.47K
- Potential profit
- $47.47K
- User PnL
- -$10.77K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.89K
- Potential profit
- $40.89K
- User PnL
- -$5.57K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.13K
- Potential profit
- $32.13K
- User PnL
- -$12.73K
No position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.54K
- Potential profit
- $31.54K
- User PnL
- -$20.37K
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.01K
- Potential profit
- $28.01K
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $26.31K
- Potential payout
- $26.74K
- Potential profit
- $427.86
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $931.97
Yes position
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.37K
- Potential profit
- $26.37K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.92K
- Potential profit
- $23.92K
- User PnL
- -$836.51
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.62K
- Potential profit
- $23.62K
- User PnL
- -$3.22K
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.68K
- Potential profit
- $22.68K
- User PnL
- -$9.93K
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $3.71K
- Potential payout
- $21.22K
- Potential profit
- $17.51K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$734.81
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $18.17K
- Potential payout
- $20.53K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $10.99K
Yes position
Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.13K
- Potential profit
- $18.13K
- User PnL
- -$1.99K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $15.86K
- Potential profit
- $13.08K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$506.35
Yes position
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.42K
- Potential profit
- $14.42K
- User PnL
- -$5.7K
Yes position
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.34K
- Potential profit
- $10.34K
- User PnL
- -$4.33K
Yes position
Will the Texas House pass HB 4 by August 19?
Ends Aug 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.26K
- Potential profit
- $6.26K
- User PnL
- -$514.32
Yes position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 6-9%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.68K
- Potential profit
- $5.68K
- User PnL
- -$10.85
No position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.28K
- Potential profit
- $5.28K
- User PnL
- -$263.97
Yes position
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$49.97
Ruffy position
UFC Fight Night: Saint Denis vs. Ruffy
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $3.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.96K
Yes position
Any Texas House Democrats arrested by August 19?
Ends Aug 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$191.66
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.41K
No position
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $126.95K
Yes position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $126.01K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.39K
Yes position
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $83.43K
No position
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.09K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $49.9K
Yes position
Biden drops out in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.44K
No position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.49K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.36K
Yes position
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.5K
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.58K
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.52K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.22K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.69K
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.07K
No position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.38K
Yes position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $30.35K
No position
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.04K
Yes position
Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.9K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.43K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.67K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.78K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.03K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 77.4% 9,537.58 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 72% 299.59 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 76% 3,391.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75% 13,301.34 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 75.6% 22,555.79 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 81.2% 7,203.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 74.8% 7,452.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 45% 12,494.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 25% 10,978 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 23% 107.5 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 25.6% 4,106.86 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes 4.4% 2,508.46 shares