Polymarket Trader

o-1854

0xd1af9a097714be3d0d0e2c826fe9a18def28701e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.17K
Realized PnL: $83.97K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $570.04K
Potential profit: $570.04K
User PnL: -$17.22K

Yes position

Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $3.58K
Potential payout: $421.7K
Potential profit: $418.11K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$722.79

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73K
Potential profit: $73K
User PnL: -$458.95

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.78K
Potential profit: $30.78K
User PnL: -$1.37K

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.13K
Potential profit: $29.13K
User PnL: -$1.13K

Yes position

Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $312.53
Potential payout: $8.68K
Potential profit: $8.37K
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: -$16.69

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.15K
Potential profit: $6.15K
User PnL: -$1.22K

Yes position

Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $219.14
Potential payout: $5.11K
Potential profit: $4.89K
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: $52.04

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.96K
Potential profit: $4.96K
User PnL: -$14.88

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.65K
Potential profit: $3.65K
User PnL: -$463.27

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$1.05K

Yes position

Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $25.1
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: $3.02

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$512.37

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $1.84K
Potential profit: $1.84K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$48.47

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$160.69

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$250.98

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $250 end of February?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.53K
Potential profit: $1.53K
User PnL: -$9.71

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$523

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $24.32
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $70-$75 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$67.98

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.04K
User PnL: -$51.05

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$122.2

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$102

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.21K

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.54K

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.64K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84K

Yes position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.32K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Yes position

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $671.59

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $345.2

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.38

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.84

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.5

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $249

Yes position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $230.7

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.55

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.9

Yes position

Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.34

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nobel" or "Peace Prize" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Yes position

SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.44

Yes position

FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.29

Yes position

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Germany 87% 144.83 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Brazil 74% 125 shares
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.9% 9.82 shares
Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 0.9% 2,500 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 79% 100 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 55% 100 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 100 shares
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 2.8% 50 shares
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Yes 2.1% 71.66 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 70% 150 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 42% 25 shares
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

No 93% 12 shares