Polymarket Trader

htg46

0xd1b07fcbf538b2fa7b27bcc1e8e65033a3dd3f04

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $447.15
Realized PnL: $4.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $151
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.85K
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $21
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.98K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$119

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $275.15
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $763.16
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $160.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $764.43
Potential profit: $764.43
User PnL: -$229.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.97
Potential profit: $199.97
User PnL: -$129.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $261.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.53

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $245.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.86

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.32

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 98% 1,999.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.7% 2,040.69 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 49.5% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 4.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 99.9% 1,162.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 86% 1,162.79 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 12% 225.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 5.5% 3,499.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 6% 2,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 20% 1,741.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

No 76.1% 2,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 19.2% 258.24 shares