Yes position
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $2.33K
- Potential payout
- $3.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$452.76
Polymarket Trader
pengulover344
0xd1b17f5442900fc4d83b4ec3aa9948981efd1945
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.54K
- Realized PnL
- $822.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $2.82K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $183
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$28.99
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $568.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- Multiplier
- 5.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.8K
No position
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $2.8K
- Potential payout
- $2.97K
- Potential profit
- $170.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$73.6
Yes position
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $26.26
- Potential payout
- $187.6
- Potential profit
- $161.34
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.01
Yes position
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $146.32
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.46
No position
Lee Jun-seok in jail in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.22
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.84
Yes position
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.18
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.87
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.45
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.48
No position
Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.49
No position
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?
Ends Jan 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.93
No position
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
Yes position
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.48
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.91
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 94.6% 25 shares
- Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?No 96.4% 217.39 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?Yes 98.1% 1,000 shares
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes 95% 198.17 shares
- Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 96.5% 753.74 shares
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes 95% 2,000 shares
- Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 99.9% 1,330.67 shares
- Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 99.9% 28.11 shares
- Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 0.3% 8,615.78 shares
- Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 98.3% 13.18 shares
- Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes 26% 1,319.95 shares
- Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No 99.9% 1,000 shares