Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $90
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.91K
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
maybeno276
0xd1ba94534d6f577deef74f0f0ca398da68258737
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $653.66
- Realized PnL
- $207.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $102.85
- Potential payout
- $242
- Potential profit
- $139.15
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.21
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $202.29
- Potential payout
- $220
- Potential profit
- $17.71
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $151
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $49
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $107.52
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $12.48
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.62
- Potential profit
- $5.62
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $2.86
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.06
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.07
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $11.98
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $10.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No 91.9% 111.82 shares
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 89.5% 120 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 43% 242 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No 81% 113.82 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 77% 77.62 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 99.8% 60 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETDown 6% 2.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETDown 34% 2.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETDown 37% 3.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETDown 27% 3.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETDown 24% 2.04 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETDown 49% 2.04 shares