Polymarket Trader

0x830c6D792953E81eAD3Feaa902dE053754977Bc5-1772359331924

0xd1bec6833f4abaccad46ebf155cc1c0371650522

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $127.43
Realized PnL: -$4.09
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Meta acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $405.4
Potential profit: $405.4
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $312.5
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $14.59
Potential payout: $258.29
Potential profit: $243.7
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $6.44
Potential payout: $176.47
Potential profit: $170.03
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$8.56

Yes position

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $117.19
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$8.44

Yes position

Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $93.75
Potential profit: $93.75
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $75
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $60

Yes position

Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.87
Potential profit: $46.87
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 31.6%
Current value: $10.49
Potential payout: $33.25
Potential profit: $22.76
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$4.51

Yes position

New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $13.09
Potential payout: $25.42
Potential profit: $12.33
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.13
Potential profit: $22.13
User PnL: -$3.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Meta acquire TikTok?

Yes 3.7% 181 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 8.5% 176.47 shares
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?

Yes 4.8% 312.5 shares
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Yes 5% 5 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 11% 166.66 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 28% 57.5 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 29% 5 shares
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 153.84 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 10.2% 198.01 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Yes 8.4% 229.88 shares
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?

Yes 14% 6 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 12% 166.66 shares