Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$65.51
Polymarket Trader
0xd1BF6d7A83CB85CC1239440Dd8d4f494457Ae1b4-1760666608290
0xd1bf6d7a83cb85cc1239440dd8d4f494457ae1b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16
- Realized PnL
- -$88.93
- Win rate
- 8.3%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jeff Criswell win the GA-14 special election?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $856.28
- Potential profit
- $856.28
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $844.99
- Potential profit
- $844.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate primary be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000 voters?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.75
- Potential profit
- $296.75
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 85% and 90%?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.77
- Potential profit
- $245.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $221.1
- Potential profit
- $220.21
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.12
Yes position
Will Obi Toppin win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $204.71
- Potential profit
- $204.71
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.23
- Potential profit
- $178.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $134.67
- Potential profit
- $133.32
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.8%
- Current value
- $13.76
- Potential payout
- $128.04
- Potential profit
- $114.27
- Multiplier
- 9.30x
- User PnL
- $8.76
Yes position
Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $57.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.34
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will UP win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.45
Yes position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$3.22
Yes position
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.33
Yes position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday?Yes 1% 100 shares
- Will Jeff Criswell win the GA-14 special election?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Jasmine Crockett win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 5.00%?Yes 0.1% 844.99 shares
- Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on March 31?Yes 1.7% 57.69 shares
- Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be between 85% and 90%?Yes 2% 245.77 shares
- Will Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?Yes 2.8% 178.23 shares
- Will Jalen Brunson lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes 0.6% 856.28 shares
- Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day?Yes 3.9% 128.04 shares
- Will turnout in the first round of the Texas Democratic Senate primary be between 1,750,000 and 2,000,000 voters?Yes 1.7% 296.75 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 1.1% 242.98 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 0.7% 262.93 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes 1.9% 262.94 shares