No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.2%
- Current value
- $7.48
- Potential payout
- $41.19
- Potential profit
- $33.71
- Multiplier
- 5.51x
- User PnL
- $6.48
Polymarket Trader
0xd1c7...9836
0xd1c75bc3d384bf6073ed8f686491d339e4489836
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $15.89
- Realized PnL
- -$9.65
- Win rate
- 9.1%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.15
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $1.14
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $1.11
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
New pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $1.1
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1.05
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $1.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $1.03
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 88% 1.14 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 95% 1.05 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 87% 1.15 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?Yes 15% 6.67 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 74% 1.35 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 90% 1.11 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?No 2.4% 41.19 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?No 91% 1.1 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 96.3% 1.04 shares
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 96.9% 1.03 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 93% 2.15 shares