Y
Yes position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.33M
- Potential payout
- $1.33M
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- $1.29K
Polymarket Trader
033033033
0xd1c769317bd15de7768a70d0214cf0bbcc531d2b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.58M
- Realized PnL
- $132.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $199.7K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- $551.2
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $49.98K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- $125
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.01K
- Potential payout
- $5.02K
- Potential profit
- $7.53
- User PnL
- $3.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.72K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.47K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.25K
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.86K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5K
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.43K
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.71K
No position
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.05K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.86K
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31K
Yes position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77K
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
Yes position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.49K
No position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36K
Yes position
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.09K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.05K
Yes position
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.95K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.91K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,584.03 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 50,000 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 214.52 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.7% 1,167.84 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 201.63 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.7% 157.49 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.9% 33 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.9% 33 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.9% 33 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.9% 42.89 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes 99.9% 99.04 shares