Yes position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.6%
- Current value
- $4.21
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $19.79
- Multiplier
- 5.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.16
Polymarket Trader
0xd1cf...a7ab
0xd1cf31c73f7ef206455c912e9b43249f5832a7ab
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $77
- Realized PnL
- -$1.61
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $15.84
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $18
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.52
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $14.48
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$5.38
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.75
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.9
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.56
- Multiplier
- 6.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $8.37
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.64
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $6.36
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- Multiplier
- 1.91x
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.69
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $5.78
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.72
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.95
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $22.03
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- -$20.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 88% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 44.5% 8 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 28% 8 shares
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 33% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 86% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 15.9% 10 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 92.2% 5 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 94.9% 6 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.2% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 82% 5 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 92.5% 9 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 92.8% 5 shares