Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
Kutaysobey
0xd1f064cec716ca213183824c58c890c3c1ce02cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.24
- Realized PnL
- $651.16
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $281.27
- Potential profit
- $281.27
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$5.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $199.97
- Potential profit
- $199.97
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $149.97
- Potential profit
- $149.97
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $131.38
- Potential profit
- $131.38
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.97
- Potential profit
- $129.97
- User PnL
- -$6.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $114.99
- Potential profit
- $114.99
- User PnL
- -$6.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- User PnL
- -$8.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.01
- Potential profit
- $85.01
- User PnL
- -$9.12
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.24
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $79.76
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$6.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$58.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$0.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $70
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.99
- Potential profit
- $69.99
- User PnL
- -$12.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3PM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $63
- Potential profit
- $63
- User PnL
- -$9.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.99
- Potential profit
- $59.99
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$4.25
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.39
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.65
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 5.8% 20 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Yes 60% 10 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?Yes 12% 80 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes 7.7% 11 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 75% 6.67 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 75% 5 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes 1.8% 281.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 3.8% 131.38 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 70% 12.86 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?Yes 3% 36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp 89% 5.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETUp 89% 5.06 shares