Polymarket Trader

mygeomoney

0xd1f833d3c9bd1e085efe31d9ac4dcb18a3d5384e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $786.81
Realized PnL: -$1.99K
Win rate: 71.4%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$265

Yes position

Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $126.8
Potential payout: $710.39
Potential profit: $583.59
Multiplier: 5.60x
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.1%
Current value: $240.58
Potential payout: $649.35
Potential profit: $408.77
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$9.41

Yes position

Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $451.97
Potential profit: $451.97
User PnL: -$31

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 57.9%
Current value: $223.36
Potential payout: $385.96
Potential profit: $162.61
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $171.55
Potential payout: $261.9
Potential profit: $90.36
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $6.55

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 57%
Current value: $24.51
Potential payout: $43.01
Potential profit: $18.5
Multiplier: 1.75x
User PnL: $4.51

No position

Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.89
Potential profit: $39.89
User PnL: -$12.76

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.61K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783.06

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $771.31

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $632.77

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.38

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $464.29

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.26

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.19

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$508.57

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$900

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.23K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.81K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.5% 649.35 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 385.96 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?

Yes 17% 117.65 shares
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Yes 46.5% 43.01 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 63% 261.9 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17.8% 2,021.85 shares
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 1,086.96 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.3% 2,732.24 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Yes 62% 274.19 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Yes 35% 714.29 shares
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Yes 46% 43.48 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Yes 38% 26.32 shares