Polymarket Trader

Maugus

0xd2143152fefd50203a2a1125797bb678a4efdcc4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.28
Realized PnL: $44.22
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $0.34
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.66
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21
Potential profit: $21
User PnL: -$1.01

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.99
Potential profit: $20.99
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.3%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.95
Multiplier: 19.05x
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $7.88
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $7.13
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $2.48

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $7.34
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $5.66
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $11
Potential profit: $8.42
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: $1.05

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.96
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will the People's Bank of China increase rates in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the TX-24 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $5.29
Potential payout: $7.3
Potential profit: $2.01
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.55
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $1.2
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: -$0.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez attend the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.67

Yes position

Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Tundra Esports position

Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.1

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.69

No position

Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The United Kingdom by Feburary 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.09

No position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

OG position

Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Liberal Alliance win the third most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Team Yandex position

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 19?

Ends Jan 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Oscars Bingo

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

BetBoom Team position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Trump talk to Mette Frederiksen in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

Team Liquid position

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

PARIVISION position

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.5

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

No 68% 6 shares
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?

Yes 4.8% 21 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 99.7% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 99.8% 5 shares
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Yes 4.6% 5.82 shares
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Yes 93% 5 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

No 70% 5 shares
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Playoffs

Team Spirit 18% 5.42 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 36% 15 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

No 99.9% 9.99 shares
Will turnout in the 2026 Danish general elections be between 85% and 90%?

Yes 38% 6 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

No 64% 3.12 shares