Polymarket Trader

Shad2y

0xd220223eb9b6d2f70a50573525f52e0a548ac03d

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $2.78K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $115.84
Potential payout: $3.46K
Potential profit: $3.34K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$248.36

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $17.51
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $135

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $852.3
Potential payout: $941.77
Potential profit: $89.47
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $71.49

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $601.15
Potential payout: $679.26
Potential profit: $78.11
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.14
Potential profit: $174.14
User PnL: -$88.57

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.1
Potential profit: $80.1
User PnL: -$40.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $72.53
Potential payout: $72.57
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $10.26
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $42.37
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$22.89

Yes position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $40.55
Potential profit: $33.45
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$4.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $11.18
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $3.82
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.43
Potential profit: $9.43
User PnL: -$8.96

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $0.48
Potential payout: $1.05
Potential profit: $0.57
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.16

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 74% 15 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 63% 52.63 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 88% 15 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 88% 57.69 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 88% 19.23 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 88% 101.46 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 88% 184.26 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 88% 15.42 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 44% 137.72 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 88% 50 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 88% 125 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 44% 65.27 shares