No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.04K
- Potential profit
- $7.04K
- User PnL
- -$3.52K
Polymarket Trader
nanthDrake
0xd2229623451966cc40da31d6f380bc440feafe42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $442.48
- Realized PnL
- $6.69K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.54K
- Potential profit
- $5.54K
- User PnL
- -$3.53K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$676
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $683.06
- Potential profit
- $683.06
- User PnL
- -$381.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $118.64
- Potential payout
- $300.37
- Potential profit
- $181.72
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $10.64
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $240
- Potential profit
- $240
- User PnL
- -$127.58
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $209.3
- Potential profit
- $209.3
- User PnL
- -$135
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $140.34
- Potential payout
- $190.93
- Potential profit
- $50.6
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $13.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $102.94
- Potential payout
- $173.01
- Potential profit
- $70.07
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$2.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $75.31
- Potential payout
- $138.18
- Potential profit
- $62.87
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- -$10.69
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.48
- Potential profit
- $105.48
- User PnL
- -$67.51
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $64.75
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?
Ends Nov 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$36.5
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$6.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.76K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $644.35
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $451.59
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.18
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.78
No position
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.17
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.58
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.91
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.07
No position
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.21
No position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.44
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.05
No position
Sudan civil war ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$40.07
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$113.81
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$371.26
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$537.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?No 61% 31.16 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?No 36% 77.78 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?No 67% 84.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 20?Yes 14.3% 70 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?No 62.2% 138.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?No 60.6% 141.85 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 21?No 65.9% 106.21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 20?No 35.9% 222.59 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?No 91% 32.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?No 51% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 17?No 50% 76 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 17?No 80% 10 shares