Polymarket Trader

OComplexity

0xd23286bb3f7f5567764180ff7300e519f4fb30d4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $17.37
Realized PnL: $359.26
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.45
Potential profit: $72.45
User PnL: -$16.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.14
Potential profit: $62.14
User PnL: -$19.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.08
Potential profit: $57.08
User PnL: -$15.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.56
Potential profit: $52.56
User PnL: -$1.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.17
Potential profit: $41.17
User PnL: -$7.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $6.72
Potential payout: $36.32
Potential profit: $29.6
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.54
Potential profit: $32.54
User PnL: -$3.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.44
Potential profit: $28.44
User PnL: -$10.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $10.65
Potential payout: $23.41
Potential profit: $12.76
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.61
Potential profit: $13.61
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.95
Potential profit: $12.95
User PnL: -$1.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.76
Potential profit: $12.76
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.21
Potential profit: $9.21
User PnL: -$6.41

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 13?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.15

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 38% 23.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 27% 36.32 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 7.5% 20.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 86.9% 20.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 29% 20.03 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 27.5% 20.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 31% 62.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 33% 35.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 59% 34.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 44% 34.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 30% 35.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 49% 16.41 shares