Polymarket Trader

nightcrawler

0xd242076f22923056df04731f698e98422fc6ba4e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $6.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the July meeting?

Ends Jul 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.02K
Potential profit: $1.02K
User PnL: -$31.86

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6?

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $993.58
Potential profit: $993.58
User PnL: -$449.21

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $977
Potential profit: $977
User PnL: -$344.58

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $850
User PnL: -$43.01

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $850
Potential profit: $850
User PnL: -$52.23

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 21 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $777.65
Potential profit: $777.65
User PnL: -$218.44

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $745.02
Potential profit: $745.02
User PnL: -$322.34

Yes position

"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 80–89%?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $613.98
Potential profit: $613.98
User PnL: -$39.97

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $609.02
Potential profit: $609.02
User PnL: -$50.38

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift's appearance on New Heights get between 20 and 30 million views the first week?

Ends Aug 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $442.11
Potential profit: $442.11
User PnL: -$112.84

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $431
Potential profit: $431
User PnL: -$19.66

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $431
Potential profit: $431
User PnL: -$38.54

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 440–454 times August 8–August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $431
Potential profit: $431
User PnL: -$22.14

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $170 and $180 on August 11?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371
Potential profit: $371
User PnL: -$191.3

Yes position

Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $11-12.5m?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $359
Potential profit: $359
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $119K on July 21 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356
Potential profit: $356
User PnL: -$5.95

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 21 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356
Potential profit: $356
User PnL: -$6.84

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.05
Potential profit: $351.05
User PnL: -$69.55

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3800 on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.05
Potential profit: $351.05
User PnL: -$130.97

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3500 and $3600 on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $351.05
Potential profit: $351.05
User PnL: -$18.92

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 165–179 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315.51
Potential profit: $315.51
User PnL: -$7.84

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 225–239 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.51
Potential profit: $293.51
User PnL: -$5.48

Yes position

Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m?

Ends Jul 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $271
Potential profit: $271
User PnL: -$76.23

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get between 5-10m views on day 1?

Ends Aug 13, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $259.18
Potential profit: $259.18
User PnL: -$34.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 4–11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $635.51

Yes position

Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $495.8

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 25–August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $472.36

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $117K on August 6?

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $460.09

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.85

Yes position

Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?

Ends Jul 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.51

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.58

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $117K on July 21 at 5PM ET?

Ends Jul 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.36

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2700 on June 12 at 5 PM ET?

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $234.63

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on June 15 at 5 PM ET?

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $233.46

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.96

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.53

Yes position

"The Naked Gun" Rotten Tomatoes score is 90% or higher?

Ends Aug 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.06

Yes position

Will the US add between 100k and 149k jobs in May?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.33

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?

Ends Jun 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.69

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $108K on June 12 at 5 PM ET?

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.27

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be greater than $180 on August 11?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.23

Yes position

Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.39

Yes position

Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross between $140-150m opening weekend?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.15

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4300 and $4400 on August 18?

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.6

Yes position

Will Boca Juniors vs. Benfica end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.18

Yes position

Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.11

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2600 and $2700 on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 10.6% 10 shares
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 80.7% 10 shares
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 10.6% 10 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 28?

Yes 39.5% 10 shares
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 70% 5 shares
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?

Yes 24.7% 5 shares
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the June meeting?

Yes 5% 20 shares
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the June meeting?

Yes 93% 20 shares
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 4.07 shares
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?

Yes 9% 15.93 shares
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?

Yes 54% 15.93 shares
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on June 30, 2026?

Yes 7.8% 15.93 shares