Yes position
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $52.69
- Potential payout
- $15.05K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$5.28
Polymarket Trader
qcp2
0xd245304a12ba711de764a45cd0912aee5ad52318
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $206.9
- Realized PnL
- $1.44K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.23K
- Potential profit
- $14.23K
- User PnL
- -$33.65
Yes position
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $41.74
- Potential payout
- $11.93K
- Potential profit
- $11.88K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$47.35
Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $41.38
- Potential payout
- $9.19K
- Potential profit
- $9.15K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $11.36
Yes position
Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.55K
- Potential profit
- $6.55K
- User PnL
- -$19.66
Yes position
Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $5.43K
- User PnL
- -$12.14
Yes position
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $34.46
- Potential payout
- $5.3K
- Potential profit
- $5.27K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $8.4
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.56K
- Potential profit
- $4.56K
- User PnL
- -$23.45
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $3.12K
- User PnL
- -$9.36
Yes position
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $28.57
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $15.11
Yes position
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $6.84
- Potential payout
- $2.74K
- Potential profit
- $2.73K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.36
Yes position
Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.59K
- Potential profit
- $2.59K
- User PnL
- -$7.76
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- User PnL
- -$13.41
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $2.44K
- Potential profit
- $2.44K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$10.97
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$36.48
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- User PnL
- -$5.51
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 21, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$9.47
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- User PnL
- -$18.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $976
- Potential profit
- $976
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 19, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $922.79
- Potential profit
- $922.79
- User PnL
- -$3.74
No position
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $863.88
- Potential profit
- $863.88
- User PnL
- -$14.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Connecticut Huskies position
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $256
Yes position
US strikes Iraq by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $227.77
Yes position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.14
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.13
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.9
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.44
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.27
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.74
Yes position
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.92
Yes position
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $52.47
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.8
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.12
Yes position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $36.35
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.85
Yes position
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.33
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.35
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.12
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.12
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.8
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.24
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.69
Yes position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.35
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 45% 18.19 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 44% 18.19 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 42% 0.02 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 57% 1.76 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 59% 1.7 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 60% 13.34 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 61% 174.75 shares
- Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.8% 142.86 shares
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes 39% 21.18 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 37% 6.01 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes 37% 6.01 shares
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No 64% 14.07 shares