Polymarket Trader

8689Alexisbig

0xd25a68b44606b2c36dbe22f35d8c960c7673c956

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $20.5K
Realized PnL: $13.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $6.49K
Potential payout: $92.17K
Potential profit: $85.68K
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$3.53K

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $12.26K
Potential payout: $62.08K
Potential profit: $49.82K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $2.27K

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $23.01
Potential payout: $15.34K
Potential profit: $15.32K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$23.01

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $49.85
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.62K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$19.18

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $138.06
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.53K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: $7.67

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $95.88
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.57K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.65K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $7.67
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.66K
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$53.69

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.65K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $19.18
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.65K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $441.03
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.23K
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: $57.52

Yes position

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $42.18
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.63K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $187.92
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.48K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $49.85
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.62K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$26.85

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $164.14
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.51K
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$12.27

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $26.85
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.64K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $410.34
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.26K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: $11.5

Yes position

Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $11.51
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.66K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $26.85
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.64K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$3.84

Yes position

Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $3.84
Potential payout: $7.67K
Potential profit: $7.67K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$11.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

$4000 position

Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.91K

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.64K

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Grizzlies

Ends Nov 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $852.09

Yes position

Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?

Ends May 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $741.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8 AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $507.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $401.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1 AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.79

Cavaliers position

Hornets vs. Cavaliers

Ends Nov 24, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $383.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3 AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $259.78

No position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9 PM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $254.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4 AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $223.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10 PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $218.12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7 AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1 AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4 AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.41

Raptors position

Pacers vs. Raptors

Ends Nov 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $182.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5 AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6 AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $169.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9 PM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5 AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $160.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3 AM ET

Ends Jun 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8 PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2 AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8 PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 24% 868 shares
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 23% 150 shares
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 19% 1,765 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 32% 968 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 51% 565 shares
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 46.8% 682 shares
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 22% 1,838.88 shares
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 32% 968 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 50% 60 shares
Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 44% 1,395 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Up 1.2% 8,655.05 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET

Up 1% 10,000 shares