Polymarket Trader

crescidentialsuite

0xd25dded89a80d827688c8499211f2924e9854540

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $21.97
Realized PnL: $33.57
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $89.95
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $23.6
Potential profit: $22.55
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$0.95

No position

Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 21, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $6.35
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $3.85
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34.2%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $5.8
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 2.92x
User PnL: -$0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $4.46
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $5.5
Potential profit: $4.87
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.47

No position

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.92
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $3.34
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $5.13
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $4.88
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.55
Potential profit: $4.55
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 9?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.57
Potential profit: $3.57
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 8?

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.49
Potential payout: $2.75
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $2.56
Potential profit: $1.78
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.26
Potential payout: $2.55
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51
Potential profit: $2.51
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.5
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $0.46
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $2.04
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.54

No position

Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?

Ends Aug 7, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $1.95
Potential payout: $2.5
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.45
Potential profit: $2.45
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $2.07
Potential payout: $2.11
Potential profit: $0.04
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.85
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $1.01
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $0.81
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or below on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.55

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 21.8%
Multiplier: 4.60x
User PnL: $3.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $3.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 6?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "The Odyssey" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 19% 5.26 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?

No 74% 1.69 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 16?

Yes 55% 1.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?

Yes 19% 5.5 shares
Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?

No 80% 2.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?

No 91% 2.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?

No 99.7% 5.32 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 15?

No 88% 1.99 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 17?

Yes 39% 2.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 17?

Yes 20% 5.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 16?

Yes 20% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?

Yes 24% 5 shares