Polymarket Trader

0xD2716359d969def10436eFFd131E9c608A7137E0-1773230846648

0xd2716359d969def10436effd131e9c608a7137e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.29K
Realized PnL: $2.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $302.92
Potential payout: $4.36K
Potential profit: $4.06K
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$65.78

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $855
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $145
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $46.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $53.5
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $69.49
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $30.51
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.95
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.64

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 3?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or higher on April 4?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.66

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 86% 1,000 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 33% 20 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

No 67% 100 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 8.6% 1,609.38 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 8.5% 23 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 7.8% 10 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 7.7% 10 shares
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Yes 7.3% 438.64 shares
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 44% 100 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 43% 10 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 10 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 91% 10 shares