No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $245.6
- Potential profit
- $245.6
- User PnL
- -$130.81
Polymarket Trader
JonathanSoy
0xd27d3b7a750f2e08de58b6e4fa6e20f5675b3da2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $84.63
- Win rate
- 81.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 280 and 299 times September 5–12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 300 and 319 times September 5–12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $16.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon tweet between 260 and 279 times September 5–12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $8.06
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.35
No position
Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.66
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.23
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.37
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
OpenAI social app in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.27
Yes position
Will Trump say "Jesus" during September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$9.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 12?No 53.3% 245.6 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes 75% 174.42 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes 49% 174.43 shares
- Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes 54.4% 155.4 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 85% 99.44 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No 82.1% 99.45 shares
- Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes 76% 107.4 shares
- Will the government shutdown end November 12?Yes 71% 107.41 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes 61.1% 124.81 shares
- Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Yes 50.5% 124.81 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 55% 114.03 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No 53% 114.04 shares