Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $172.45
- Potential payout
- $5.56K
- Potential profit
- $5.39K
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- -$527.54
Polymarket Trader
KAI2026B3
0xd27de9f83ff9f5c2ef769fa966fca1ea5966fa96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.34K
- Realized PnL
- $5.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $149.22
- Potential payout
- $5.43K
- Potential profit
- $5.28K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $99.72
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $323.94
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$176.06
Yes position
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $104.01
- Potential payout
- $2.67K
- Potential profit
- $2.56K
- Multiplier
- 25.64x
- User PnL
- $4.01
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $53.43
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- -$196.56
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.9%
- Current value
- $690.71
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 2.64x
- User PnL
- $271.17
Yes position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $108.47
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- -$41.53
Yes position
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $36.85
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$33.15
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.7%
- Current value
- $100.27
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $933.47
- Multiplier
- 10.31x
- User PnL
- $50.27
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $44.57
- Potential payout
- $803.03
- Potential profit
- $758.46
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$5.43
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.9%
- Current value
- $319.26
- Potential payout
- $627.22
- Potential profit
- $307.97
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $219.26
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $66.01
- Potential payout
- $561.8
- Potential profit
- $495.79
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $16.01
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $55.36
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $301.79
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $42.66
- Potential payout
- $312.5
- Potential profit
- $269.84
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$7.34
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $73.51
- Potential payout
- $183.78
- Potential profit
- $110.27
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$38.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $998.06
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $500.92
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $402.34
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.37
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.4%
- Multiplier
- 2.83x
- User PnL
- $271.86
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $167.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.12
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.08
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.45
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.61
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $79.21
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.33
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.02
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.27
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.31
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $45.57
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.28
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $37.29
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.21
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.09
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.43
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 4.8% 1,033.74 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 25.9% 100 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 25.9% 100 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 24.5% 150 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 12.5% 50 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 41.7% 61.26 shares
- Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?Yes 42.1% 81.68 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 73% 382.48 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?Yes 0.9% 5,476.27 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 24.5% 815.98 shares
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes 22.1% 1,358.88 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 52.3% 382.48 shares