nondvcordvco

Implied probability: 23.4%
Current value: $1.55K
Potential payout: $6.65K
Potential profit: $5.1K
Multiplier: 4.28x
User PnL: -$646.55

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 85.6%
Current value: $1.67K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $281.64
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $7.52

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $19.23
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.52K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.71
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.28

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.74

Yes position

Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$2.87

Yes position

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $26.95
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $6.95

Yes position

Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $940.68
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $87.39
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $40.68

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $50.46
Potential payout: $925.93
Potential profit: $875.46
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $494.58
Potential payout: $755.09
Potential profit: $260.51
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$5.42

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $665.67
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $312.38
Potential payout: $618.57
Potential profit: $306.19
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$7.62

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $589.5
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $5.91
Potential payout: $562.5
Potential profit: $556.59
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.09

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $5.53
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $520.79
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$4.47

Yes position

Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.57
Potential payout: $493.95
Potential profit: $483.38
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $17.03
Potential payout: $480.95
Potential profit: $463.93
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $51.1
Potential payout: $407.13
Potential profit: $356.04
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $4.53
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $307.97
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $51.1
Potential payout: $258.74
Potential profit: $207.64
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.38
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $762.74

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.72

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.07

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.07

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.89

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.48

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.4

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.35

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 3PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.19

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 3PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.36

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.06

Flames position

Sharks vs. Flames

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 15, 2PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.84

Up position

XRP Up or Down - December 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.96

Up position

Solana Up or Down - December 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

Down position

XRP Up or Down - December 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Down position

Solana Up or Down - December 15, 3PM ET