Polymarket Trader

ELEZIOR-TV

0xd286b6c35efc7fada932e4b0d6ce9ffc2bcf2322

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.6K
Realized PnL: $11.56K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.99K
Potential profit: $361.99K
User PnL: -$9.53K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.94K
Potential profit: $131.94K
User PnL: -$527.75

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.96K
Potential profit: $128.96K
User PnL: -$3.95K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.73K
Potential profit: $51.73K
User PnL: -$4.16K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.16K
Potential profit: $51.16K
User PnL: -$1.41K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.2K
Potential profit: $18.2K
User PnL: -$89.93

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.46K
Potential profit: $17.46K
User PnL: -$1.18K

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $190.69
Potential payout: $16.58K
Potential profit: $16.39K
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$540.27

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.06K
Potential profit: $15.06K
User PnL: -$146.1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.12K
Potential profit: $13.12K
User PnL: -$2.47K

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.5K
User PnL: -$94.39

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Current value: $4.61K
Potential payout: $7.38K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $737.88

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.34K
Potential profit: $7.34K
User PnL: -$389.98

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $6.67K
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.57K
Potential profit: $6.57K
User PnL: -$304.57

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.05K
Potential profit: $5.05K
User PnL: -$178.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.89K
Potential profit: $4.89K
User PnL: -$12.87

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $651.13
Potential payout: $2.83K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $151.67

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $386.29
Potential payout: $2.09K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $873.28
Potential payout: $2.05K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $178.29

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $461.42
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.5K
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$238.57

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81K
Potential profit: $1.81K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$18.6

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $430.5
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: -$152.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93K

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.62

Kiwoom DRX position

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.28

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355.15

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.8

Los Angeles Angels position

New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.98

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.05

Global Esports position

Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.78

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.6

SPARTA position

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs fnatic (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.75

Team Secret Whales position

LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Season

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.65

Fnatic position

LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.75

INOX Division position

Counter-Strike: TDK vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.47

Team Vitality position

LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.87

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.61

Bilibili Gaming position

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 24.1% 584.96 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes 26% 560.2 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 70.7% 377.12 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 37.4% 267.72 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 62% 483.87 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 38.4% 521.51 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?

Yes 34.1% 1,174.29 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 50.5% 990.36 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes 28.4% 6,451.32 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 71% 426.76 shares
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Yes 39% 461.54 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?

Yes 32.6% 1,500 shares