Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $833
- Potential profit
- $833
- User PnL
- -$49.98
Polymarket Trader
0xd28A58D7752255D74F31B7430BE037Ce4895635A-1773949114502
0xd28a58d7752255d74f31b7430be037ce4895635a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.18
- Realized PnL
- -$129.58
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $15.3
- Potential payout
- $255
- Potential profit
- $239.7
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$33.15
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92
- Potential profit
- $92
- User PnL
- -$49.68
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $17.88
- Potential payout
- $23.53
- Potential profit
- $5.65
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.79
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
Yes position
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.47
Yes position
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$49.91
Yes position
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 86% 12.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 99.9% 183.9 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No 75% 183.91 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 99.3% 2.06 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?Yes 97.1% 11.94 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 96% 19.73 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 83% 52.63 shares
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes 78% 12.82 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?Yes 83.7% 11.95 shares
- Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 76% 13.16 shares
- Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes 85% 23.53 shares