Yes position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.79K
- Potential profit
- $27.79K
- User PnL
- -$319.74
Polymarket Trader
GammaTheta
0xd28dc91fbeb46757ad316db32a3cdcc26da21fb7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $361.84
- Realized PnL
- -$8.15K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU, FDP, and Greens for the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.09K
- Potential profit
- $11.09K
- User PnL
- -$242.19
Yes position
Will another coalition form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.91K
- Potential profit
- $10.91K
- User PnL
- -$600.65
Yes position
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $308.82
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.54K
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- $25.59
Yes position
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $27.35
- Potential payout
- $759.76
- Potential profit
- $732.41
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- $19.75
Yes position
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.6%
- Current value
- $25.67
- Potential payout
- $339.96
- Potential profit
- $314.29
- Multiplier
- 13.25x
- User PnL
- $3.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.62
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.23
No position
Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Yes position
Will AfD make it into Thuringia or Saxony government?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.18
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.39
Yes position
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.5
No position
Will Biden pardon Julian Assange?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$14.81
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.09
Yes position
Another monkeypox case in US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$172
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$217.79
No position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$499
Yes position
Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$570.82
Yes position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.29K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 1% 759.76 shares
- Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 6.4% 339.96 shares
- Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?Yes 10% 2,846.27 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 58% 90 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 57% 80.13 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 57% 30 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 56% 100 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 55% 107.5 shares
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes 54% 61.31 shares
- Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Yes 69% 500 shares
- Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes 11.4% 90 shares
- Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes 62% 39 shares