Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $211.96
- Potential payout
- $476.31
- Potential profit
- $264.35
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $11.96
Polymarket Trader
sirarbusto
0xd29da8100bb2b910540c973bcc5eec452bc4f43c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $501.63
- Realized PnL
- -$26.4
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $82.52
- Potential payout
- $242.71
- Potential profit
- $160.19
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $7.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $18.87
- Potential payout
- $196.57
- Potential profit
- $177.7
- Multiplier
- 10.42x
- User PnL
- -$6.13
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $39.83
- Potential payout
- $189.68
- Potential profit
- $149.84
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $132.45
- Potential profit
- $125.76
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$13.31
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $43.47
- Potential payout
- $112.9
- Potential profit
- $69.44
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $8.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $46.32
- Potential payout
- $99.61
- Potential profit
- $53.29
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$3.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $40.24
- Potential payout
- $86.54
- Potential profit
- $46.3
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- -$4.76
Yes position
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $11.73
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $26.73
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.73
Yes position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $14.29
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.52
- Potential profit
- $6.52
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.1
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- User PnL
- -$5
Over position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.55
- Potential profit
- $4.55
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.33
No position
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8
No position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Yes position
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.98
Under position
Panama vs. England: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.82
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$35.91
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 1?Yes 42% 476.31 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 1?Yes 30.9% 242.71 shares
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 1?Yes 12.7% 196.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 1?Yes 15.1% 132.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 1?Yes 52% 86.54 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 1?Yes 31% 112.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 1?Yes 21.1% 189.68 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?Yes 50% 80 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?Yes 26% 38.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 30?Yes 80.5% 19.04 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 30?Yes 0.1% 16.21 shares