No position
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $97.85
- Potential payout
- $98
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $0.15
Polymarket Trader
Categories
0xd2a6f2313d762b1d3853b8e110d95c8556e6d4e7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $131.67
- Realized PnL
- $8.46
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $33.81
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Grok 4.20 released by April 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Trump posts less than 5 times on X?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Tether Insolvent in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Boy position
Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 60 times?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Jan 3-Jan 10?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Vladimir Putin attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times October 18-25?
Ends Oct 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Kamala Harris drop out in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Trump posts between 10 and 14 times on X?
Ends Aug 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No 99.3% 34 shares
- Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?No 99.7% 98 shares
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?No 99.3% 80.8 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?No 99.9% 69 shares
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No 99.9% 65 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99% 50 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?Yes 99.7% 5 shares
- Grok 4.20 released by April 20?Yes 98.2% 80.35 shares
- Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.6% 66 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?No 99.3% 82.3 shares
- Zelensky resigns in 2025?No 97.8% 28.72 shares
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?No 99.9% 38.04 shares