Polymarket Trader

Kratos777

@JesusBG14

0xd2b4e511f763fea19773658df0fe1b1f51c52d9b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $52.75
Realized PnL: $843.14
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $11.1
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $48.9
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $9.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $50.7
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $50.4
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $54.29
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Ends Jul 21, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $11.4
Potential payout: $59.99
Potential profit: $48.59
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$11.5

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $5.65
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $4.35
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$3.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.6

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 2PM ET

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.52

Yes position

Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2025-11-09?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.8

Djokovic position

Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 8AM ET

Ends Nov 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

Djokovic position

Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmann

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.3

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 12% 59.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 16% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 18% 59.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 15% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

Yes 13% 60 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?

Yes 89% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 11% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 21% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 24% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 23% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 14% 50 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 78% 10 shares