0xJ2850dE39Bf48cE0B6b6B3BdaA951e6887223

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.39
Potential profit: $103.39
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 10 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.07
Potential profit: $91.07
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will Team Mirai loose any seats in Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.58
Potential profit: $78.58
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.38
Potential profit: $78.38
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.63
Potential profit: $76.63
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.31
Potential profit: $76.31
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 190 and 204 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.83
Potential profit: $75.83
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be less than 1,500,000?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.95
Potential profit: $74.95
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Team Mirai be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.35
Potential profit: $74.35
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 13 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.03
Potential profit: $74.03
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win between 180 and 189 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.91
Potential profit: $73.91
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Centrist Reform Alliance be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.74
Potential profit: $73.74
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 205 and 219 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.06
Potential profit: $73.06
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 - 8 be between 13,750,000 and 14,000,000?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.8
Potential profit: $72.8
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win between 150 and 159 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.46
Potential profit: $72.46
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Social Democratic Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.34
Potential profit: $72.34
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Democrat Party (DP) finish in second place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.3
Potential profit: $72.3
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Sanseitō win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.17
Potential profit: $72.17
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will Reiwa Shinsengumi loose any seats in Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.78
Potential profit: $71.78
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.56
Potential profit: $71.56
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.25
Potential profit: $71.25
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español (PSOE) win the 2026 Aragon Regional Election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.15
Potential profit: $71.15
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.04
Potential profit: $71.04
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win between 110 and 119 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.83
Potential profit: $70.83
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.55
Potential profit: $70.55
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.14
Potential profit: $70.14
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 58% and 60%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.1
Potential profit: $70.1
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.42
Potential profit: $69.42
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Sanseitō be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.8
Potential profit: $68.8
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Partido Popular win 37+ seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.63
Potential profit: $68.63
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win between 170 and 179 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.54
Potential profit: $68.54
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 56%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.53
Potential profit: $68.53
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win fewer than 90 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.49
Potential profit: $68.49
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the Conservative Party of Japan be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.25
Potential profit: $68.25
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 11 be less than 1,500,000?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.95
Potential profit: $66.95
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.79
Potential profit: $66.79
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 17 be greater than 2,800,000?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.91
Potential profit: $65.91
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.44
Potential profit: $65.44
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be less than 1,500,000?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.34
Potential profit: $65.34
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 10 be less than 1,600,000?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.31
Potential profit: $65.31
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 2 - 8 be between 13,500,000 and 13,750,000?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.31
Potential profit: $65.31
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will Sanseitō loose any seats in Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.25
Potential profit: $65.25
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 11 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65.17
Potential profit: $65.17
User PnL: -$0.07

Yes position

Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.89
Potential profit: $64.89
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Reiwa Shinsengumi be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.79
Potential profit: $64.79
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.76
Potential profit: $64.76
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the Japan Innovation Party win 45 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.72
Potential profit: $64.72
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party for the People win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.69
Potential profit: $64.69
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be below 50%?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.59
Potential profit: $64.59
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 8 be between 1,500,000 and 1,700,000?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.57
Potential profit: $64.57
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $303.03

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,500 and $4,600 on September 18?

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $3.00 and $3.10 on September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.01

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on September 15?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.41

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.05

Yes position

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $39.98

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.37

Yes position

Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.79

Yes position

Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?

Ends Nov 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.53

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.11

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Thespa Gunma position

Spread: Thespa Gunma (-2.5)

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.99

Yes position

Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Yes position

Will Eric Jones advance from the CA-04 primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.99

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $9.56

Yes position

Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.16

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.04

Yes position

Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

No position

Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

No position

Exact Score: Júbilo Iwata 3 - 2 FC Ōsaka?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

No position

Exact Score: Júbilo Iwata 2 - 3 FC Ōsaka?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.99

Yes position

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

No position

Exact Score: Júbilo Iwata 3 - 3 FC Ōsaka?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.99

Yes position

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.82

Yes position

Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.69

Yes position

Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.36

Yes position

Will the Packers win the NFC Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.25

Yes position

Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.24

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.68

Yes position

Will the Eagles win the 2026 NFC Championship?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.62

Yes position

Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?