0xd2b86DA404Bc36Bab60777a18E2e4f7197A88cF5-1770730193385

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $150.15
Potential payout: $910
Potential profit: $759.85
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$49.85

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $315.05
Potential payout: $684.88
Potential profit: $369.84
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$104.95

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Implied probability: 47%
Current value: $226.39
Potential payout: $481.67
Potential profit: $255.29
Multiplier: 2.13x
User PnL: -$73.92

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.67
Potential profit: $366.67
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $268
Potential profit: $268
User PnL: -$1

No position

SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $24.79
Potential payout: $222.36
Potential profit: $197.56
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: $22.79

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $158.28
Potential profit: $158.28
User PnL: -$6.23

Yes position

Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 39.6%
Current value: $60.55
Potential payout: $153.09
Potential profit: $92.54
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$39.45

Aiemann Zahabi position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $130.43
Potential profit: $130.43
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $103.48
Potential profit: $103.48
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.55
Potential profit: $54.55
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will the fight be won by submission?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.05
Potential profit: $44.05
User PnL: -$11

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.3
Potential profit: $28.3
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $4.23
Potential payout: $20.49
Potential profit: $16.26
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$0.77

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.26
Potential profit: $15.26
User PnL: -$2.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.86
Potential profit: $11.86
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Starmer out by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.66

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.92

Yes position

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.09

Down position

XRP Up or Down - February 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.28

Up position

Solana Up or Down - February 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.72

Yes position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.57

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.79

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.72

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.76

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.02

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.93

Yes position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.69

Up position

XRP Up or Down - February 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET