Yes position
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $3.15K
- Potential payout
- $3.22K
- Potential profit
- $70.89
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$18.48
Polymarket Trader
EverythingAlwaysHappens
0xd2b9591605be8fadc6caa8d43a3209e503190a94
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.87K
- Realized PnL
- $2.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $714.25
- Potential payout
- $747.13
- Potential profit
- $32.87
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $64.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Irfaan Ali win the 2025 Guyana presidential election?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.88
Yes position
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-14?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.6
Yes position
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.5
No position
Boxing: Will Canelo vs. Crawford end in a Draw?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.16
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $140.64
Yes position
Bitcoin above $110K on August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.92
N
No position
Will Elon tweet 225–239 times?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $120.15
No position
Will Elon tweet between 240 and 259 times September 5–12?
Ends Sep 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.17
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.79
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4AM ET
Ends Sep 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $44.81
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.9
Yes position
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?
Ends Sep 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.71
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.44
No position
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.38
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.83
No position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.65
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.11
No position
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times August 22–August 29?
Ends Aug 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 87% 747.13 shares
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes 98.4% 3,222.41 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 0.9% 1,291.85 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 3,161.32 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 90% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 95% 629.99 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 34% 422.29 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?No 98.2% 2,936.39 shares
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Hanwha Life Esports 69% 142.23 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 69% 869.57 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 99.9% 1,999.98 shares
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 98.8% 574.16 shares